Market Observe of Signal and Event

P/E Box Plot Distribution I. Figure 1 (P/E Box Plot Distribution): The S&P 500 at 22x is Above the 95th Percentile of its 20-Year Range...

Reference List Bloomberg Television. (2025, Aug 22). US Stocks 'In The Early Days' For A Bubble Says Oaktree’s Howard Marks [Video]....

The contemporary macroeconomic landscape is characterized by a profound and unsettling tension. Despite one of the most aggressive...

Introduction: Monetary Policy at a Crossroads At a time when the global macroeconomy is facing a turning point, the decisions of central...

Fed Likely to Resume Cuts in September as Data Slows Meeting Action Upper Bound Lower Bound IORB RRP Rate 30-Jul-2025 Hold 4.50 4.25 4.40...

For decades, a defining characteristic of the technology sector's titans was their "capex-light" business model, which allowed for...

In the intricate machinery of global finance, U.S. Treasury auctions are often perceived as routine, metronomic events—the fiscal...

The landscape of Emerging Market (EM) sovereign debt is currently defined by a powerful and persistent trend: the significant compression...

For months, a curious economic puzzle has unfolded in the United States. Despite the implementation of significant new tariffs on...

The transmission of monetary policy to the real economy is a cornerstone of modern macroeconomics, with the housing sector serving as a...

For the first time in almost a generation, governments are starting to face resistance from the market when they try to sell long-term...

The landscape of global mergers and acquisitions (M&A) presents a stark and sobering picture. A longitudinal analysis of deal volume, as...

The Japanese government bond (JGB) market is exhibiting signs of significant deterioration in liquidity, reaching levels unseen since the...

The epoch of unconventional monetary policy following the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC), and subsequently amplified by the global...

A seismic shift is underway in the landscape of international capital flows, signaling a potential re-evaluation of the long-held axioms...

This paper investigates the pronounced divergence between the public market valuations of large-scale alternative asset managers and the...

This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of all S&P 500 corrections exceeding 5% from the market nadir of March 2009...

This paper dissects the evolving landscape of sovereign risk within the Eurozone, focusing on the intricate dynamics of 10-year...

The post-2022 macroeconomic environment has been characterized by a surge in nominal interest rates across advanced economies, including...

This discussion investigates the informational content of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, a qualitative summary of economic conditions...