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Global Macro: A Deep Econometric Analysis and Theoretical Explanation of Key Square Capital Management's Performance Record and Fund Industry Evaluation Standards
The Bulwark. (2025, Sep 9). Scott Bessent’s Hedge Fund Lost BILLIONS (w/ Marshall Brandt) [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch...
lx2158
Sep 1443 min read
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The Restructuring of Private Credit: The Theory and Application of Protocolizing Real-World Assets (RWA) Based on Blockchain
Abstract The private credit market is plagued by inherent structural frictions, including severe illiquidity, opaque valuations, high...
lx2158
Sep 971 min read
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A Deep Dive: Deconstructing and Reconstructing LLM Reasoning: A Theoretical Framework for Advanced Quantitative Investment Strategies
Reference List Stanford Online. (2025, Apr 29). Stanford CS25: V5 | Large Language Model Reasoning, Denny Zhou of Google DeepMind ...
lx2158
Sep 130 min read
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An Extended Study Based on Six Charts: Structural Divergence in Valuation, Earnings, and Capital Expenditure
P/E Box Plot Distribution I. Figure 1 (P/E Box Plot Distribution): The S&P 500 at 22x is Above the 95th Percentile of its 20-Year Range...
lx2158
Aug 2332 min read
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Interpreting Howard Marks's Interview: A Quantitative and Behavioral Finance Analysis of Asset Prices in an Era of High Valuations
Reference List Bloomberg Television. (2025, Aug 22). US Stocks 'In The Early Days' For A Bubble Says Oaktree’s Howard Marks [Video]....
lx2158
Aug 2242 min read
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A Trio of Capital and Compute: The Rise and Paradigm Shift of Data Center Private Credit in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
Chapter 1: The Epochal Context – The Capital Chasm in New Digital Infrastructure We are in an era of structural transformation driven by...
lx2158
Aug 1625 min read
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Navigating the Inflationary Labyrinth: Deciphering Second-Order Tariff Effects and Divergent Price Signals
The contemporary macroeconomic landscape is characterized by a profound and unsettling tension. Despite one of the most aggressive...
lx2158
Aug 1410 min read
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The Risks of Rewriting History: A Theoretical and Empirical Study of the Real Interest Rate under the Current Monetary Policy Stance
Introduction: Monetary Policy at a Crossroads At a time when the global macroeconomy is facing a turning point, the decisions of central...
lx2158
Aug 1315 min read
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The Federal Reserve's Easing Conundrum: Navigating the Nexus of Inflation, Corporate Profitability, and Monetary Policy
Fed Likely to Resume Cuts in September as Data Slows Meeting Action Upper Bound Lower Bound IORB RRP Rate 30-Jul-2025 Hold 4.50 4.25 4.40...
lx2158
Aug 138 min read
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The Re-Tangibilization of Tech: Deconstructing the Convergence of Capital Allocation in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
For decades, a defining characteristic of the technology sector's titans was their "capex-light" business model, which allowed for...
lx2158
Aug 1111 min read
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Anatomy of a Strained Treasury Auction: Decoding Signals of Waning Demand and Systemic Liquidity Pressures
In the intricate machinery of global finance, U.S. Treasury auctions are often perceived as routine, metronomic events—the fiscal...
lx2158
Aug 96 min read
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The Great Compression: Deconstructing an Era of Tight Spreads in Emerging Market Sovereign Debt
The landscape of Emerging Market (EM) sovereign debt is currently defined by a powerful and persistent trend: the significant compression...
lx2158
Aug 67 min read
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The Quiet Before the Storm: Why Tariff-Driven Inflation Is Inevitable
For months, a curious economic puzzle has unfolded in the United States. Despite the implementation of significant new tariffs on...
lx2158
Aug 15 min read
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The Convexity Conundrum: Deconstructing the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy to Mortgage Rates
The transmission of monetary policy to the real economy is a cornerstone of modern macroeconomics, with the housing sector serving as a...
lx2158
Jul 117 min read
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An Analytical Framework for Modern Portfolio Construction in a New Macroeconomic Regime
Introduction: Bridging Practice and Theory This analysis provides a theoretical scaffolding for an advanced, practitioner-driven...
lx2158
Jul 916 min read
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The Great Unwinding: Market Resistance and the Repricing of Sovereign Risk
For the first time in almost a generation, governments are starting to face resistance from the market when they try to sell long-term...
lx2158
Jun 68 min read
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Anatomy of a Stalemate: Deconstructing the Multifactorial Collapse in Global M&A Activity
The landscape of global mergers and acquisitions (M&A) presents a stark and sobering picture. A longitudinal analysis of deal volume, as...
lx2158
Jun 26 min read
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Deteriorating Liquidity in Japanese Government Bonds: A Looming Global Financial Stability Risk
The Japanese government bond (JGB) market is exhibiting signs of significant deterioration in liquidity, reaching levels unseen since the...
lx2158
May 224 min read
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